Published-Accuracy Risk & Volatility Forecasting for Crypto
Know when tail risk, regime shifts, and volatility expansion are building, measured and published across 30+ assets. Not a direction call - a risk read you can verify. Powered by the Four Horsemen suite.
* Full asset catalog available on Pro & AI plans only
Published Accuracy, Not Guesswork
These are risk and volatility forecasting numbers, not price-direction accuracy - none of the Four Horsemen call up or down. Figures below are the single best-performing model per signal for BTC-USD, pulled directly from our open machineLearning-models methodology repo.
Four Horsemen accuracy - BTC-USD, daily, best model per signal
Full methodology →Tail Risk's positive class is roughly the top 10% of bars by definition, so raw accuracy alone understates how it compares to a naive baseline - full precision/recall context lives on the methodology page, not hidden, just not crammed into a homepage ring.
Core Alpha: Future Volatility Regressor - BTC-USD, hourly, XGBRegressor
Predicts magnitude, not price direction
This model forecasts how much the next bar is likely to move (volatility), not which way price goes. None of the Four Horsemen or Core Alpha models predict price direction - they flag risk and volatility regime, not up/down. Pair this with your own directional thesis or entry signal before sizing a trade.
Avg prediction error (RMSE) on BTC-USD hourly: ~0.0020, roughly 0.2 percentage points of volatility.
A Plan for Every Builder.
No credit card required to start.
Free
Explore the core API and build proof-of-concepts.
- ✓ 100 Requests per Day
- ✓ Core data + All Indicators
- ✓ Bitcoin & Ethereum Only
- ✓ Daily & Hourly timeframes
- ✓ upt to 1000 Candles per Request
Pro
Full data, priority access, and broader market coverage. Ideal for live trading bots and strategy testers.
- ✓ 10,000 Requests per Day
- ✓ Broad Market Coverage (Top 50 coins, more coming soon)
- ✓ Daily & Hourly Timeframes
- ✓ Low Latency
- ✓ Full Historical OHLCV Data
- ✓ Market & Sector performance deltas
- ✓ Four Horsemen risk & volatility suite - Tail Risk, Regime Change, Regime Emergence & Expansion Probability
AI (High-Volume)
High-volume access for AI training, SaaS products, and resellers.
- ✓ Unlimited Requests
- ✓ All Pro Features Included
- ✓ Connect LLMs to Crypto
- ✗ MCP Server (Coming Soon)
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Data Engineered for Traders, Quants, and AI Builders
Clean, Normalized OHLCV
Stop wrestling with messy data feeds. Get consistent historical ranges and reliable OHLCV data instantly.
20+ Enriched Indicators
Dozens of indicators (MACD, RSI, Stochastics, etc.) and multiple moving averages already applied for quant developers.
Risk & Volatility Forecasting, Not Guesswork
The Four Horsemen suite - Tail Risk, Regime Change, Regime Emergence, Expansion Probability - measures when risk is building, with accuracy published in the open across 30+ assets. No direction calls: just the data to size, hedge, and time your own thesis.
Built for Builders
For Algo Traders & Quant Developers
Size positions and set smarter stops using independently measured risk & volatility forecasts - not a black-box score, and not a direction call. Spend your time on strategy, not cleaning CSVs.
Learn more →For AI/ML Teams & SaaS Integrators
Feed perfectly clean financial time-series directly into training pipelines. Add published risk & volatility intelligence to your product with a single, reliable API call.
Learn more →Ready to Defi The Odds?
Start building your next winning trading strategy right now. Free to register.
View API Docs & Examples